Our research wasn’t in a position to straight connect specific insurance coverage status to payday borrowing; to your knowledge, the info to do so usually do not exist.

Also, although we found no proof this, we’re able to not rule out of the possibility that state- or county-level alterations in the legislation (or enforcement of laws) of payday advances or other industry modifications could have happened in Ca into the duration 2010–14. But, the appropriateness was tested by us of y our approach in a number of means. First, we stratified our models by age bracket (individuals more youthful or more than age sixty-five): Those who work in younger team will be beneficiaries regarding the Medicaid expansion, while those who work in the older team will never, simply because they could be qualified to receive Medicare. 2nd, we examined just just how alterations in payday financing diverse with all the share of uninsured people into the county before expansion: we might expect you’ll find a higher decrease in payday financing in areas with higher shares compared to areas with reduced stocks. Final, we carried out an “event study” regression, described above, to assess any time that is preexisting in payday financing. Our extra methodology supplied evidence that is reassuring our findings had been owing to the Medicaid expansion.

Research Outcomes

The difference-in-differences methodology we relied on contrasted lending that is payday and after California’s early Medicaid expansion when you look at the state’s expansion counties versus nonexpansion counties nationwide. To manage for confounding, time-varying facets that affect all counties at specific times (such as for example recessions, holiday breaks, and seasonality), this process utilized nonexpansion counties, in Ca and other states, being a control group.

Exhibit 1 presents quotes regarding the effect of Medicaid expansion from the general level of payday financing, our main results; the table that is accompanying in Appendix Exhibit A4. 16 We discovered big general reductions in borrowing after the Medicaid expansion among individuals more youthful than age sixty-five. The sheer number of loans applied for per thirty days declined by 790 for expansion counties, in contrast to nonexpansion counties. Offered a preexpansion mean of 6,948 loans per thirty days, that amounts to an 11 % fall when you look at the amount of loans. This lowering of loan amount equals a $172,000 decrease in borrowing per thirty days per county, from the mean of $1,644,000—a drop of ten percent. And 277 less borrowers that are unique county-month took down loans, which represents an 8 per cent decrease through the preexpansion mean of 3,603.

Effectation of very early expansion of eligibility for Medicaid on month-to-month pay day loans for borrowers younger

Display 2 presents the consequence of Medicaid expansion regarding the quantity of loans in three age groups: 18–34, 35–49, and 50–64; the accompanying table is in Appendix Exhibit A5. 16 The lowering of the amount of loans every month had been completely driven by borrowers more youthful than age fifty (the small enhance among older borrowers had not been significant). For expansion counties in Ca, in accordance with the nonexpansion counties in Ca as well as other states, postexpansion borrowers ages 18–34 took down 486 loans per county-month, when compared with a preexpansion mean of 2,268—a reduction of 21 %. For borrowers ages 35–49, the decrease ended up being 345 from a preexpansion mean of 2,715, a reduced total of 13 %. This observed relationship across age groups stayed as soon as we examined how many unique borrowers and total bucks loaned (information perhaps not shown).